Goldman Sachs strategists see an economic shift from “reopening to recovery” driving Chinese stocks as much as 24% higher by the end of this year.
The firm sees a potential 24% upside to the MSCI China index as the country moves past the reopening that followed its stringent zero-Covid policies to a growth phase, according to a Monday note.
“We believe the principal theme in the stock market will gradually shift from reopening to recovery, with the driver of the potential gains likely rotating from multiple expansion to earnings growth/delivery,” Goldman Sachs strategists including chief China equity strategist Kinger Lau said in the note.
Chinese stocks entered bull market territory around the Lunar New Year earlier this year – with the MSCI China index peaking at the end of January up nearly 60% from lows seen in October.
As of Friday’s close, the index had lost about 8% since its Jan. 27 peak. That puts it close to market correction territory, typically defined as when an index falls more than 10% from its recent peak.
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